Metsä Board
4.554
EUR
-1.73 %
METSB
NASDAQ Helsinki
Paper & Forest Products
Basic Materials
10,627 following
Income statement
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | 2025e | 2026e | 2027e | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 1,848.6 | 1,944.1 | 1,931.8 | 1,889.5 | 2,084.1 | 2,479.5 | 1,941.9 | 1,990.6 | 2,287.2 | 2,390.0 | 2,456.0 |
growth-% | 5.2 % | -0.6 % | -2.2 % | 10.3 % | 19.0 % | -21.7 % | 2.5 % | 14.9 % | 4.5 % | 2.8 % | |
EBITDA | 298.7 | 338.1 | 294.5 | 321.8 | 466.1 | 614.6 | 214.6 | 190.8 | 266.4 | 325.9 | 346.0 |
EBIT (adj.) | 193.5 | 252.0 | 184.3 | 221.3 | 386.6 | 520.7 | 122.2 | 85.6 | 188.4 | 209.0 | 219.0 |
EBIT | 207.1 | 246.4 | 180.8 | 227.3 | 375.9 | 531.5 | 120.8 | 76.9 | 158.4 | 209.0 | 219.0 |
Profit before taxes | 170.8 | 224.3 | 165.6 | 212.3 | 365.8 | 524.9 | 120.9 | 66.0 | 144.5 | 190.9 | 199.5 |
Net income | 150.5 | 203.5 | 144.6 | 170.1 | 292.1 | 409.9 | 94.8 | 37.8 | 107.1 | 142.3 | 149.6 |
EPS (adj.) | 0.39 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.85 | 1.14 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.42 |
growth-% | 52.0 % | -29.3 % | 12.3 % | 82.6 % | 33.9 % | -76.2 % | -53.3 % | 218.7 % | -0.6 % | 5.2 % | |
Dividend | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.26 |
Dividend ratio | 49.6 % | 50.7 % | 59.0 % | 54.3 % | 49.9 % | 50.3 % | 93.7 % | 94.1 % | 66.4 % | 57.5 % | 61.8 % |
Profitability and return on capital
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | 2025e | 2026e | 2027e | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA-% | 16.2 % | 17.4 % | 15.2 % | 17.0 % | 22.4 % | 24.8 % | 11.1 % | 9.6 % | 11.6 % | 13.6 % | 14.1 % |
EBIT-% (adj.) | 10.5 % | 13.0 % | 9.5 % | 11.7 % | 18.5 % | 21.0 % | 6.3 % | 4.3 % | 8.2 % | 8.7 % | 8.9 % |
EBIT-% | 11.2 % | 12.7 % | 9.4 % | 12.0 % | 18.0 % | 21.4 % | 6.2 % | 3.9 % | 6.9 % | 8.7 % | 8.9 % |
ROE | 16.3 % | 10.9 % | 12.5 % | 18.9 % | 21.7 % | 4.8 % | 2.0 % | 5.7 % | 7.3 % | 7.4 % | |
ROI | 14.0 % | 10.2 % | 12.6 % | 18.2 % | 21.3 % | 4.8 % | 3.3 % | 6.4 % | 8.0 % | 8.1 % |
Valuation
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | 2025e | 2026e | 2027e | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Share price (EUR) | 7.13 | 5.12 | 6.00 | 8.62 | 8.61 | 8.77 | 7.19 | 4.55 | 4.55 | 4.55 | 4.55 |
Shares | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 | 355.5 |
Market cap | 2,535.0 | 1,820.3 | 2,131.4 | 3,064.7 | 3,061.2 | 3,118.1 | 2,556.3 | 1,619.1 | 1,619.1 | 1,619.1 | 1,619.1 |
Enterprise value | 2,896.9 | 2,156.6 | 2,440.9 | 3,301.9 | 3,242.7 | 3,473.6 | 2,961.6 | 2,164.6 | 2,206.5 | 2,236.9 | 2,254.2 |
EV/S | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
EV/EBITDA | 9.7 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 13.8 | 11.3 | 8.3 | 6.9 | 6.5 |
EV/EBIT (adj.) | 15.0 | 8.6 | 13.2 | 14.9 | 8.4 | 6.7 | 24.2 | 25.3 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 10.3 |
EV/EBIT | 14.0 | 8.8 | 13.5 | 14.5 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 24.5 | 28.1 | 13.9 | 10.7 | 10.3 |
P/E (adj.) | 18.5 | 8.7 | 14.5 | 18.5 | 10.1 | 7.7 | 26.6 | 36.1 | 11.3 | 11.4 | 10.8 |
P/E | 16.8 | 8.9 | 14.7 | 18.0 | 10.5 | 7.6 | 27.0 | 42.8 | 15.1 | 11.4 | 10.8 |
P/B | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
P/S | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Dividend yield | 2.9 % | 5.7 % | 4.0 % | 3.0 % | 4.8 % | 6.6 % | 3.5 % | 2.2 % | 4.4 % | 5.1 % | 5.7 % |
Equity ratio | 52.4 % | 57.9 % | 58.9 % | 60.1 % | 63.2 % | 66.2 % | 67.2 % | 66.9 % | 65.1 % | 64.7 % | 64.7 % |
Gearing ratio | 31.0 % | 25.5 % | 23.2 % | 17.2 % | -4.2 % | 4.3 % | 7.1 % | 14.3 % | 15.9 % | 16.7 % | 17.0 % |
Quarter data
Q4/23 | 2023 | Q1/24 | Q2/24 | Q3/24 | Q4/24e | 2024e | Q1/25e | Q2/25e | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 422.7 | 1,941.9 | 483.7 | 509.9 | 499.0 | 498.0 | 1,990.6 | 561.3 | 568.7 |
EBITDA | 25.1 | 214.6 | 56.9 | 26.4 | 66.0 | 41.5 | 190.8 | 42.6 | 56.5 |
EBIT | -0.2 | 120.8 | 23.0 | -0.7 | 41.6 | 13.0 | 76.9 | 15.6 | 29.5 |
Profit before taxes | 1.4 | 120.9 | 20.1 | -2.5 | 38.4 | 10.0 | 66.0 | 11.6 | 25.5 |
Net income | 2.5 | 94.8 | 13.1 | -9.1 | 27.6 | 6.2 | 37.8 | 6.9 | 16.4 |