Fortum: Good results with hydropower
Q3 results exceeded our expectations, but a sharp decline in electricity futures (over 20%) weighed on earnings forecasts for the coming years (around -15%) despite the company’s operationally good performance. Still, Fortum is able to maintain a good earnings level especially with hydropower, and as society becomes more electrified, we believe the demand outlook supports even higher electricity prices in the future. We believe the stock is cheap (2024e P/E 11x) and underpriced also relative to peers.
Fortum
Fortum is active in the energy sector. In addition to the provision of electricity, a number of technical solutions are offered in heat optimization as well as apps that are used to keep track of energy consumption. The company also provides charging stations for electric cars. The largest activity is found around the Nordic market. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Espoo.
Read more on company pageKey Estimate Figures03.11.2023
2022 | 23e | 24e | |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 7,754.0 | 6,555.0 | 5,763.6 |
growth-% | 20.74 % | -15.46 % | -12.07 % |
EBIT (adj.) | 1,611.0 | 1,594.9 | 1,320.7 |
EBIT-% (adj.) | 20.78 % | 24.33 % | 22.91 % |
EPS (adj.) | 2.00 | 1.46 | 1.13 |
Dividend | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Dividend % | 5.86 % | 7.62 % | 7.63 % |
P/E (adj.) | 7.77 | 9.00 | 11.67 |
EV/EBITDA | 6.99 | 5.80 | 6.82 |