Copyright © Inderes 2011 - present. All rights reserved.
  • Latest
  • Markets
    • Stock Comparison
    • Financial Calendar
    • Dividends Calendar
    • Research
    • Articles
  • inderesTV
  • Forum
  • About Us
    • Our Coverage
    • Team
Analyst Comment

HCA SaaS update January 2025: DeepSeek – a Cisco moment for investors

AgillicOrderYOYOImperoMapsPeople

Median ARR multiple: By the end of January 2025, our HCA SaaS Index ended at a median multiple of 3.4x (3.6x by the end of December 2024), while The SaaS Capital Index covering the US/global SaaS market ended January 2025 with a median ARR multiple of 7.3x (from 7.0x by the end of December 2024). The increase in the US multiple could be explained by investors acting on the DeepSeek news flow.

Cloud giants’ growth plateauing: Compared to the growth rates in Q3 2024, both Google Cloud and Azure (Microsoft) did see declining growth momentum in Q4 2024, while AWS (Amazon) was flat. Furthermore, they all gave pretty muted next quarter guidance for their cloud divisions. This normally does not bode well for the coming SaaS reporting season. However, it seems that some of the weaker growth and disappointing outlooks are due to capacity constraints, implying that the read-over to the SaaS sector maybe is a less strong signal.

DeepSeek drives momentum in the software sector: While we still must confirm the real truth behind the data on DeepSeek, it seems already to have altered with investors’ mindset. The sharp fall in AI costs indicated by DeepSeek, was also confirmed by one of the world’s largest SaaS companies, ServiceNow. ServiceNow indicated a 16x lower cost in just a few months. Lower costs that support the application part of the AI technology shift and thereby the SaaS companies. The investors' reaction to this may best be seen in the WisdomTree Cloud Computing ETF beating the return on the WisdomTree AI ETF year-to-date.

Read the newsletter here: Link

Disclaimer: HC Andersen Capital receives payment from some of the mentioned SaaS companies in the newsletter (Agillic, Impero, MapsPeople, OrderYOYO, and Penneo) for a Digital IR/Corporate Visibility subscription agreement. /Michael Friis 15:05, 25-02-2025.

Forum discussions
Husk at læse hele vores research disclaimer på https://www.inderes.dk/disclaimer. Dansk: Agillic er en dansk Software as a Service (SaaS) virksomhed...
10/17/2022, 7:56 AM
by Olivier A. de Goeij
0
Find us on social media
  • Inderes Forum
  • Youtube
  • Facebook
  • X (Twitter)
Get in touch
  • info@hcandersencapital.dk
  • Bredgade 23B, 2. sal
    1260 København K
Inderes
  • About us
  • Our team
  • Inderes as an investment
  • Services for listed companies
Our platform
  • FAQ
  • Terms of service
  • Privacy policy
  • Disclaimer
Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.
  • Latest
  • Markets
    • Stock Comparison
    • Financial Calendar
    • Dividends Calendar
    • Research
    • Articles
  • inderesTV
  • Forum
  • About Us
    • Our Coverage
    • Team