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Research

Loihde: Heading towards a more difficult cycle in a good shape

Loihde
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In Q3, Loihde performed better than our cautious expectations and we made slight upward revisions and added the Onrego acquisition to our estimates. Loihde is making a clear improvement in profitability this year and we see the potential for even better levels with current business mix as we look beyond a more difficult economic cycle. As the acquisitions aimed at allocating the huge net cash (~45% of market value) progress, we expect the uncertainty weighing on the company's accepted valuation to disappear. In this case, the expected return that is based on rising valuation multiples and dividend yield is set at an attractive -1-23% based on our current estimates, depending on the acquisition multiples and accepted valuation levels of the companies bought.

Loihde

12.35EUR01.11.2022, 18.00
14EURTarget price
Accumulate
Changed from:Accumulate
Recommendation updated:02.11.2022

Loihde is a service company for digital development and security. Among other things, it offers solutions in data analysis and data management, user experience design, software development, cloud services and services in cyber security and security technology. The customers consist of business customers operating in a number of different sectors. The largest operations are found in Finland and Sweden.

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Key Estimate Figures02.11.2022

202122e23e
Revenue107.3126.0141.6
growth-%6.2 %17.5 %12.4 %
EBIT (adj.)2.33.63.0
EBIT-% (adj.)2.2 %2.9 %2.1 %
EPS (adj.)0.540.290.48
Dividend0.550.220.22
Dividend %3.4 %1.9 %1.9 %
P/E (adj.)29.940.924.4
EV/EBITDA6.13.77.2
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