NIBE Q3'24: Signs of recovery but risk/reward is thin
NIBE’s Q3 result was operationally slightly below our expectations, and we made small revisions to our short- and medium-term estimates. However, the company's outlook continues to show signs of a recovery in the destocking situation, but overall, the current year and at least the first half of next year will still be challenging. Eventually, demand at the manufacturer level will better correspond to underlying end consumer demand and the normalization of capacity utilization and the cost savings program should provide leverage for profitability improvements in the medium term. In our view, given the ongoing uncertainties in the operating environment, the stock is already sufficiently priced in for earnings growth (2025e P/E: 29x).
Nibe Industrier
Nibe Industrier operates in the manufacturing industry and focuses on the development, manufacture and distribution of heat pumps and energy solutions. The company's products are aimed at private individuals and companies looking for energy-efficient solutions. The business is global with a main presence in Europe, North America and Asia. Nibe Industrier was founded in 1952 and has its headquarters in Markaryd, Sweden.
Read more on company pageKey Estimate Figures18.11.2024
2023 | 24e | 25e | |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 46,649.0 | 40,580.6 | 43,917.8 |
growth-% | 16.4 % | -13.0 % | 8.2 % |
EBIT (adj.) | 7,069.0 | 3,150.7 | 5,211.2 |
EBIT-% (adj.) | 15.2 % | 7.8 % | 11.9 % |
EPS (adj.) | 2.42 | 0.65 | 1.74 |
Dividend | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.55 |
Dividend % | 0.9 % | 0.8 % | 1.3 % |
P/E (adj.) | 29.24 | 66.70 | 24.78 |
EV/EBITDA | 18.19 | 25.67 | 13.82 |