Tecnotree operates in the IT sector. The company specializes in the development of digital communication solutions. The services include, for example, business process and subscription management services for customers in telecom and other digital service providers. Operations are held on a global level, with the largest presence around Asia, Africa and the Middle East.
Tecnotree has announced a new contract for BSS systems. The deal was announced via a press release, which gives an indication of the potential size of the transaction.
Tecnotree's Q3 results were well below our forecasts, with a sharp decline in revenue and earnings. Cash flow improved as expected in the first half, but further evidence of an improvement in the sustainable cash flow profile remains to be seen.
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Tecnotree held an investor event on Friday in an attempt to provide background information on the Pericius deal. However, we did not get answers to all the worrying details. The company also issued cash flow guidance for next year and published a dividend policy, according to which free cash flow (and profit distribution) are set to remain slim and below our expectations. Given the weak cash flow and the ongoing uncertainties regarding corporate governance, we recommend that investors remain on the sidelines, at least for the time being, due to the elevated risk profile.
Tecnotree's Q2 key figures missed our forecasts. Cash flow improved as expected from the beginning of the year and the company provided cash flow guidance for the rest of the year. However, free cash flow is expected to remain tight again this year, which means that we do not see the stock's risk/reward as particularly attractive.
Tecnotree will publish its Q2 report on Friday at around 9.00 am EEST. We expect the company's revenue and result to continue their upward trend, which is also indicated by the company's guidance for the full year. In terms of cash flow, we expect a significant improvement after a very weak start to the year with improved cash collection.
Tecnotree has continued to grow strongly in recent years, but the company has been unable to convert its EBIT into cash flow due to working capital tie-ups, foreign exchange losses and large investments in product development. The company's internal focus is currently on improving cash flow, but there is no evidence of this yet.
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